Pre-tourney Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#39
Pace72.9#61
Improvement+0.2#163

Offense
Total Offense+11.9#10
First Shot+11.3#8
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#127
Layup/Dunks+2.4#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#81
Freethrows+5.3#1
Improvement+0.6#150

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot+0.3#156
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#107
Layups/Dunks+2.2#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
Freethrows-0.3#190
Improvement-0.3#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 82.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 82.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four40.4% n/a n/a
First Round64.0% n/a n/a
Second Round27.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 298   Radford W 80-59 98%     1 - 0 +9.7 -0.7 +9.2
  Nov 13, 2016 85   Bucknell W 94-74 82%     2 - 0 +23.2 +29.6 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2016 195   UTEP W 103-81 91%     3 - 0 +20.3 +22.8 -4.2
  Nov 18, 2016 2   Villanova L 77-96 19%     3 - 1 +3.1 +24.0 -23.3
  Nov 20, 2016 93   @ College of Charleston W 78-61 70%     4 - 1 +24.4 +20.3 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2016 201   Coastal Carolina W 86-74 94%     5 - 1 +7.2 +1.8 +4.1
  Nov 28, 2016 40   @ Northwestern L 58-65 46%     5 - 2 +7.0 -5.5 +12.3
  Dec 03, 2016 88   @ Richmond W 75-67 69%     6 - 2 +15.8 +5.8 +10.0
  Dec 06, 2016 237   Charlotte W 91-74 96%     7 - 2 +9.8 +10.1 -0.9
  Dec 09, 2016 120   @ UNC Greensboro W 78-75 77%     8 - 2 +8.1 +10.9 -2.6
  Dec 17, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 65-69 46%     8 - 3 +9.9 -2.4 +12.3
  Dec 22, 2016 173   LSU W 110-76 92%     9 - 3 +31.2 +21.6 +6.3
  Dec 28, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 72-88 26%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +3.7 +6.6 -2.7
  Dec 31, 2016 39   Clemson L 68-73 65%     9 - 5 0 - 2 +4.0 -1.8 +5.8
  Jan 03, 2017 138   Boston College W 79-66 90%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +11.8 +4.8 +6.9
  Jan 08, 2017 11   @ Virginia L 62-79 24%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +3.4 +9.5 -7.8
  Jan 11, 2017 3   North Carolina L 87-93 31%     10 - 7 1 - 4 +12.1 +16.1 -3.7
  Jan 18, 2017 31   Miami (FL) W 96-79 60%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +27.3 +31.7 -4.2
  Jan 21, 2017 94   @ North Carolina St. W 93-88 70%     12 - 7 3 - 4 +12.4 +10.3 +1.5
  Jan 24, 2017 46   @ Syracuse L 76-81 47%     12 - 8 3 - 5 +8.6 +11.1 -2.8
  Jan 28, 2017 10   Duke L 83-85 39%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +13.8 +18.0 -4.3
  Jan 31, 2017 138   @ Boston College W 85-80 80%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +8.9 +14.3 -5.4
  Feb 04, 2017 77   Georgia Tech W 81-69 79%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +16.2 +14.8 +1.1
  Feb 07, 2017 25   @ Notre Dame L 81-88 31%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +11.0 +14.3 -3.2
  Feb 11, 2017 94   North Carolina St. W 88-58 84%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +32.3 +13.1 +19.2
  Feb 14, 2017 39   @ Clemson L 83-95 45%     15 - 11 6 - 8 +2.1 +7.0 -3.7
  Feb 18, 2017 10   @ Duke L 94-99 22%     15 - 12 6 - 9 +15.9 +32.9 -17.3
  Feb 22, 2017 73   Pittsburgh W 63-59 77%     16 - 12 7 - 9 +9.1 -6.7 +16.0
  Mar 01, 2017 7   Louisville W 88-81 36%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +23.7 +24.0 -0.3
  Mar 04, 2017 36   @ Virginia Tech W 89-84 45%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +19.3 +22.2 -2.7
  Mar 07, 2017 138   Boston College W 92-78 86%     19 - 12 +15.4 +18.7 -3.6
  Mar 08, 2017 36   Virginia Tech L 90-99 54%     19 - 13 +2.8 +16.8 -13.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 82.2% 82.2% 10.6 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.6 18.5 48.0 7.8 17.8 82.2%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 82.2% 0.0% 82.2% 10.6 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.6 18.5 48.0 7.8 17.8 82.2%